"The plan of initiatives calls for a confidence vote," Papandreou told his Socialist party lawmakers in parliament, moments after he had also announced a referendum would also be held on the EU deal. "The command of the Greek people will bind us," he said.
"Do they want to adopt the new deal, or reject it? If the Greek people do not want it, it will not be adopted," the prime minister said after protests were held around the country last week against his government's austerity policies."
http://theautomaticearth.blogspot.com/
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Шефът на Еврокомисията Жозе Мануел Барозу призова Гърция към национално и политическо единство по въпроса за изпълнение на програмата за финансова помощ, разработена от международните кредитори съвместно с гръцките власти.
Искам да направя много спешно изявление, от цялото си сърце, свързано с националната и политическа стабилност в Гърция. Призовавам правителството и политическите лидери в страната да покажат, че са готови да работят за постигане на национално и политическо единство за постигане на широка подкрепа, необходима за провеждането на програмата, се посочва в изявление на Барозу, публикувано на сайта на ЕК. Според него последствията, ако Гърция откаже новия пакет от ЕС и МВФ, ще са непредсказуеми.
http://news.ibox.bg/news/id_1772257111
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De Cannes nos llega la noticia bomba de un clamoroso estreno: El FMI y la Comisión Europea enviarán inspectores antes de final de mes a Italia con el fin de monitorear la labor del gobierno de Berlusconi. Tras el sobresalto digno del mejor thriller que provocó el primer ministro griego, Yorgos Papandreu, al convocar un referéndum sobre el segundo plan de ayuda a su país, y después de ver qué idea de ley, derecho e imperio tienen Merkozy, el FMI y la Comisión Europea, es hora de preguntarse qué se ha hecho de la democracia hoy en Europa. Dijo ayer el historiador Luciano Canfora: “Esta Europa que dicta leyes a los gobiernos me recuerda mucho a la Santa Alianza de 1815, que intervenía por todo el continente para aplacar revueltas, incluidas las de los patriotas italianos. Creían que tenían Europa bajo los pies, parecido a lo que hoy hacen los dirigentes de la UE y la BCE...”.
Ha pasado ya a la historia de la democracia en Europa esta cita de Yorgos Papandreu: "Teníamos tres alternativas: la primera era catastrófica, convocar elecciones; la segunda era el referéndum, y la tercera solución era lograr un consenso más amplio para sacar adelante el plan de salvamento". Al final, parece que se hará realidad la tercera solución: un gobierno de unidad nacional probablemente liderado por el expresidente del Banco Central Europeo Lucas Papademos, miembro de la Comisión Trilateral desde 1998.
Qué ritmo tiene esta guerra monetaria en Europa... Por más fans que ha tenido Silvio Berlusconi, en Italia se espera desde hace ya meses un nuevo galán que sepa actuar sobriamente al frente del reparto de un nuevo gobierno de unidad nacional. El 2 de septiembre se propuso para el papel Mario Monti. Su currículum para este papel no tiene tacha: tiene amplia experiencia como Comisario Europeo, es Presidente europeo de la Comisión Trilateral y miembro del Grupo Bilderberg. El martes habrá una moción de confianza en el Parlamento italiano: podría ser la última escena de Berlusconi hasta que se convoquen elecciones.
Es chocante que en Italia se esté reproduciendo la misma secuencia vista en Grecia. En caso de que el gobierno nacional no interprete a rajatabla lo que ordena la troika - FMI, BCE, UE - el gobierno entra en crisis y se nombra un gobierno de unidad nacional, al que también se le puede llamar de “salvación” o de “emergencia nacional”, al frente del cual podría figurar un antiguo cargo del BCE o la Comisión Europea, a ser posible con experiencia en la Comisión Trilateral o el grupo Bilderberg. Este guión admite variaciones regionales. En España, que en teoría debía seguir a Portugal e Irlanda en la secuencia del rescate, no ha habido necesidad de ningún gobierno de unidad nacional porque gobierno y oposición - eso que llaman el PPSOE - tardaron tan solo una semana, en pleno agosto, en ejecutar la “regla de oro” del equilibrio presupuestario que habían dictado Alemania y Francia, pese a que ello suponía reformar nada menos que la Constitución.
http://www.rebelion.org/noticias/europa/2011/11/quien-gobierna-europa-138781
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Они должны сократить свои заработные платы наполовину
Глава мюнхенского научно-исследовательского института Ifo профессор Ханс-Вернер Зинн (Hans-Werner Sinn) больше не видит возможности для сохранения Греции в составе стран еврозоны. Как заявил Зинн в интервью немецкой газете Wirtschaftswoche, опубликованном в субботу, 5 ноября: "У греков нет шансов стать конкурентоспособными в еврозоне. Они должны сократить свои заработные платы наполовину. Достичь этого можно только путем отказа от евро". По словам немецкого профессора, даже при отсутствии правовой базы по выходу из еврозоны, отказ от единой европейской валюты евро возможен. "Технически выполнимо все, и отделение Чешской Республики от Словакии тому подтверждение", - указал глава мюнхенского института Ifo.
Между тем, по мнению другого немецкого экономиста, профессора Института международной экономической политики при Боннском университете Манфреда Ноймана (Manfred Neumann), во избежание панического оттока евроактивов из банков, правительство в Афинах должно было бы уже готовиться к возвращению в оборот драхмы. "Лучше всего проводить валютно-финансовую реформу в праздничные дни Рождества", приводит мнение Ноймана агентство dpa. Для проведения такой реформы и ограничения оттока средств, необходимо изолировать страну: перекрыть границы, ввести запрет на осуществление банковских денежных переводов, а также прекратить международное воздушное и железнодорожное сообщение, считает Манфред Нойман. "На то, чтобы напечатать новые банкноты, потребуется порядка трех дней", - указал профессор боннского института.
http://oko-planet.su/politik/politikmir/87873-nemeckie-ekonomisty-grecii-nuzhno-vyyti-iz-evrozony.html
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German supremacy
This is the way the world ends, not with a bang but a cliche. Crisis spirals out of control and Armageddon moves to the brink of abyss. "Europe" is too big to fail yet too big to succeed. Each newscast is a crash course in economics, each headline an incitement to suicide. But since we are not at war and few understand what is going on, the rest cannot believe it. As if watching the fall of Icarus, they sense the gods are angry but return quietly to the plough.
This week the European backwash of the crash of 2008 moved way beyond high finance. Economics may have pushed politics to the wall, but in Greece, Italy and, more important, Germany, politics is hitting back, hard. Yelling, spitting and choking with frustration, it has had enough of economics, and has beaten it to the ground. Yesterday it claimed its first scalp, demanding a new ruler of Greece.
There is no point in European Union acolytes loftily opining that "it was a pity" Greece was admitted to the euro. It was more than a pity, it was a crime. There is no point in bewailing the reluctance of Germans to bail out Greeks or Latins, or let their bankers print billions of cash. There is no point in hectoring or dreaming. A 50-year fiction is over. As often before in history, a new Europe must be built on the ruins of the old, and we had better get used to it.
It is a massive irony that old Europe's last gasp should be to seek the very outcome it sought in the 1950s to avoid, German supremacy...
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/nov/10/new-europe-on-ruins-of-old
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A strong northern core
A report last month from the London-based Economist Intelligence Unit, titled "After Eurogeddon?," said any fracturing would likely leave the euro in the hands of a strong northern core featuring Germany, Austria, Belgium, Finland, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Slovakia, Slovenia and Estonia.
While France would suffer from a likely surge in the new euro it would remain a member because its monetary union with Germany is fundamental to France’s political and economic interests, the report said. Greece would be first to leave followed eventually by Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Spain, Malta and Cyprus, it said.
"If they push out weaker countries and the euro stays, it would represent a smaller number of countries, so the currency should be stronger," said Nicola Marinelli, who oversees $153 million at Glendevon King Asset Management in London. "But we don’t know the knock-on effects that could come from a country leaving so there would be a period of great uncertainty and weakness."
European leaders will still do their utmost to keep the euro-zone in its current form, said Marc Chandler, chief currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. in London. "Rather than break-up, the solution for Europe’s crisis will be more integration," he said. "European officials, including Germany and France, in word and deed recognize the important of preserving the euro zone as currently constituted."
A break-up could threaten a repeat of the Great Depression, HSBC’s King said in an analysis last month. For the exiting country, the banking system could face collapse, capital controls would be needed to stop citizens moving savings out of the country and companies would face default. On top of that, inflation would spiral, technical problems such as updating computer codes would be required and the accompanying departure from the European Union would leave it subject to trade tariffs, he said.
Turmoil could also spread to other debt-strapped nations, featuring bank runs "in countries perceived to be at risk of leaving," Deutsche Bank AG chief economist Thomas Mayer told clients this week. King says with banks in pain and restricting credit, the ECB would have little option but to inject a vast amount of liquidity and print money to buy potentially unlimited quantities of bonds.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-10/merkel-s-taboo-breaking-gambit-opens-pandora-s-box-as-euro-exit-is-mapped.html
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Eurozone’s disintegration
... Unless the eurozone moves toward greater economic, fiscal, and political integration (on a path consistent with short-term restoration of growth, competitiveness, and debt sustainability, which are needed to resolve unsustainable debt and reduce chronic fiscal and external deficits), recessionary deflation will certainly lead to a disorderly break-up.
With Italy too big to fail, too big to save, and now at the point of no return, the endgame for the eurozone has begun. Sequential, coercive restructurings of debt will come first, and then exits from the monetary union that will eventually lead to the eurozone’s disintegration.
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/roubini44/English
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